Conformal Prediction Visualizers

Interactive simulations exploring the mathematical foundations and guarantees of conformal prediction.

Formulation Equivalence

An interactive proof demonstrating the exact mathematical identity of the three prediction set criteria: the Order Statistic, the Empirical Quantile, and the Empirical Counting formulations.

Interactive Dashboard MathJax HTML5 Canvas
Marginal vs. Conditional Coverage

A 1-D visual explainer analyzing the mechanics of marginal coverage guarantees and exploring why exact conditional coverage is mathematically impossible in finite samples without assumptions.

Interactive Explainer Distribution Simulator
Full Conformal Prediction

An interactive tug-of-war visualization showing how the Full Conformal regression curve warps toward each trial y-value, with a live p-value distribution revealing the 90% prediction interval.

Interactive Dashboard Plotly.js Kernel Ridge Regression